عوامل تعیین کننده انباشت بدهی دولت در ایران با تاکید بر رشد اقتصادی و کسری بودجه ( با استفاده از رویکرد لاسو و ARDL)

ژیلایی اقدم، جعفر؛ دقیقی اصلی، علیرضا؛ افشاری راد، مجید؛ دامن‌کشیده، مرجان؛ اسماعیل‌زاده، علی. (1398). «اثر آستانه‌ای بدهی‌‌های عمومی دولت بر رشد اقتصادی (کشورهای منطقۀ خاورمیانه و شمال آفریقا) رهیافت انتقال ملایم لجستیکی در داد‌‌ه‌‌های تابلویی»؛ مطالعات و سیاست‌های اقتصادی، 6(2)، 29-58. https://economic.mofidu.ac.ir/article_39251_en.html

سلاطین، پروانه؛ غفاری صومعه، نیلوفر؛ ﻣﺤﻤﺪی، ﺳﻤﺎﻧﻪ. (1397). «ﺑﺮرﺳﻲ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ مؤثر ﺑﺮ ﻛﺴﺮی ﺑﻮدﺟﻪ ﺑﺎ تأکید ﺑﺮ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻗﺎﻧﻮن»؛ سیاست‌های ﻣﺎﻟﻲ و اﻗﺘﺼﺎدی، (2)14، 123-158. https://qjfep.ir/article-1-498-fa.html

فتاحی، شهرام؛ حیدری دیزگرانی، علی؛ عسگری، الناز. (1393). «بررسی پایداری بدهی دولت در اقتصاد ایران»؛ سیاست‌‌های مالی و اقتصادی، 2(6)، 67-86. http://qjfep.ir/article-1-152-fa.html

فلاحی، فیروز؛ اصغری‌پور، حسین؛ احمدیان بهروز، کسری. (1398). «بررسی تأثیر بدهی خارجی بر رشد اقتصادی ایران (رهیافت مارکوف-سوئیچینگ)»؛ اقتصاد مالی، 13(46)، 183-216. https://journals.iau.ir/article_666859.html

منتظری، جلال. (1397). «ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ تعیین‌کنندۀ اﻧﺪازة ﺑﺪﻫﻲ دوﻟﺖ در اﻗﺘﺼﺎد اﻳﺮان ﺷﻮاﻫﺪ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ از اﻟﮕﻮی ﺧﻮدﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﺑﺎ وﻗﻔﻪ (ARDL)»؛ بررسی مسائل اقتصاد ایران، 5(2)، 105-124. https://economics.ihcs.ac.ir/article_4314.html

Afonso, A. & Alves, J. (2015). “The Role of Government Debt in Economic Growth.working”. Review of Public Economics, 215(4), 9-26. http://dx.doi.org/10.7866/HPE-RPE.15.4.1

Alam, N. &Taib, F. (2013). “An investigation of the relationship of external public debt with budget deficit, current account deficit, and exchange rate depreciation in debt trap and non-debt trap countries”. European Scientific Journal, 9(22), 144-158. https://eujournal.org/index.php/esj/article/view/1645/1636

Bandiera, L. (2008). “Public debt and its determinants in low income countries: results from 7 country case studies”. World Bank, Working Paper Series, 1-25. https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1143511

Barta, Z. (2018). In the Red: The politics of public debt accumulation in developed countries. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. https://doi.org/10.3998/mpub.9726915

Calderon, C. & Fuentes, J. R. (2013). “Government debt and economic growth”. IDB Publications (Working Papers), 4641, Inter-American Development Bank. https://doi.org/10.18235/0011505

Fallahi, F.; Asharipoor, H. & Ahmadian behrooz, K. (2019). “Investigating the impact of foreign debt on Iran's economic growth (Markov-switching approach)”. Financial Economics Quarterly, (3)13, 183-216. [In Persian]. https://journals.iau.ir/article_666859.html?lang=en

Fatahi, S.; Heydari dizgarani, A. & Askari, E. (2014). “The study of government debt sustainability in Iran’s economy”. Quarterly Journal of Fiscal and Economic Policies, 2(6), 67-86. [In Persian]. http://qjfep.ir/article-1-152-en.html

Feldstein, M. (1985). “Debt and taxes in the theory of public finance”. Journal of Public Economics, 28(2), 233-245. https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-2727(85)90071-4

Folorunso, B, A. & Falade, O. E. (2013). “Relationship between fiscal deficit and public debt in nigeria: an error correction approach”. Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 5(6), 346-355. http://dx.doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v5i6.410

Forslund, K.; Lycia, L. & Ugo, P. (2011). “The determinants of the   composition of public debt in developing and emerging market countries”. Review of Development Finance, 1(3-4), 207-222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rdf.2011.09.004

Gargouri, I. & Ksantini, M. (2016). “The determinants of public debt”. The Romanian Economic Journal, 18(59), 111-124. https://ideas.repec.org/a/rej/journl/v18y2016i59p111-124.html

Globan, T. & Matošec, M. (2016). “Public debt-to-gdp ratio in new eu member states: cut the numerator or increase the denominator”. Journal for Economic Forecasting, 19(3), 57-72. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309661143

Hlongwane, N. W. & Daw, O. D. (2023). “Determinants of public debt in South Africa: A regimeswitching approach”. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies, 15(113203), 142-163. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/113203/

Holtfrerich, C.; Feld, L.; Heun, W. & Illing, G. (2016). “Government debt: causes, effects and limit”. Union der deutschen Akademien der Wissenschaften e. V. edition1. 32-36. https://www.leopoldina.org/uploads/tx_leopublication/3Akad_Bericht_Staatsschulden2015_EN.pdf

IMF Report. (2003). “Public debt in emerging markets: Is it too high?” World Economic Outlook, Chapter 3, 36-37. https://www.imf.org/-/media/Websites/IMF/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/weo/2003/02/pdf/_chapter3pdf.ashx

Jarju, S. & Njie, M. (2023). “The determinants of public debt in the Gambia: Estimates using the autoregressive redistributed lag (ARDL) bound cointegration technique”. Journal of Economics and International Finance, 15(2), 46-55. https://doi.org/10.5897/JEIF2023.1193

Kempa, B. & Sadatkhan, N. (2015). “Government debt and economic growth in the G7 countries: Are there any causal linkages?” Applied EconomicsLetter, 23(6), 440-443. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2015.1080797

Kripfganz, S. & Schneider, D. C. (2018). “ARDL: Estimating autoregressive distributed lag and equilibrium correction models”. TUPD Discussion Papers 18, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/obes.12377

Kum, H. & Öktem, O. (2018). “Government debts and economic growth: The case for selected European Union countries.” International Journal of Economics and Financial, 8(6), 192-196. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.7399

Lau, E. & Lee, A. (2016). “Determinants of external debt in thailand and the philippines”. International Journal of Economics and Financial, 6(4), 1973-1980. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/366276

Montazari, J. (2019). “Determining factors of government debt size in Iran's economy, new evidences from self-explanatory model with interval (ARDL)”. Review of Iran's Economic Issues, 5(2), 105-124. [In Persian]. https://economics.ihcs.ac.ir/article_4314.html?lang=en

Nkoro, E. & Uko, A. K. (2016). “Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration technique: Application and interpretation”. Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, 5(4), 63-91. https://ideas.repec.org/a/spt/stecon/v5y2016i4f5_4_3.html

Omrane, H. & Belguith, S. (2017). “Macroeconomic determinants of public debt growth: A case study for Tunisia”. Theoretical & Applied Economics, 24(613), 161-168. https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v4(613)y2017i4(613)p161-168.html

Pesaran, M.; Shin, Y. & Smith, R. J. (2001). “Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships”. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616

Pirtea, M. G.; Nicolescu, A. C. & Mota, P. R. (2013). “An empirical study on public debt’s determinants: evidence from Romania”. Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences, 58(38), 144-157. https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/download/117/113

Reinhart, C. M.; Reinhart, V. R. & Rogoff, K. S. (2012). “Public debt overhangs: advanced-economy episodes since 1800”. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3), 69-86. DOI: 10.1257/jep.26.3.69

Salatin, P.; Ghaffari, N. & Mohammadi, N. (2019). “Examining the factors affecting the budget deficit with an emphasis on the rule of law”. Journal of Financial and Economic Policies, 6(22), 123-158. [In Persian]. https://qjfep.ir/article-1-498-en.html

Sinha, P.; Arora, V. & Bansal, V. (2011). “Determinants of public debt for middle income and high income group countries using Panel Data regression”. MPRA Paper, 32079(6), 1-28. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/32079/1

Swamy, V. (2015). “Government debt and its macroeconomic determinants: An empirical investigation”. Munich Personal Repec, 5(64106), 168-177. https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2601875

Tibshirani, R. (1996). “Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso”. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B (Methodological), 58(1), 267-288. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2346178

Yared, P .(2019). “Rising government debt: Causes and solutions for a decades-old tren”. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(2), 115-140. DOI: 10.1257/jep.33.2.115

Zada, S. & Gatto, A. (2019). “Determinants of the public debt and the role of the natural resources: A cross-country analysis”. Working Paper, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), 004, 1-18. https://hdl.handle.net/10419/211163

Zahra, A.; Nasir, N.; Rahman, S. & Idress, S. (2023). “Impact of exchange rate, and foreign direct investment on external debt: Evidence from Pakistan using ARDL cointegration approach”. iRASD Journal of Economic, 5(1), 52-62. https://doi.org/10.52131/joe.2023.0501.0110

Zhilaei aghdam, J.; Daghighi asli, A.; Afsharirad, M.; Damankeshide, M. & Esmaelzadeh, A. (2019). “Threshold effect of general government debt on economic growth in Middle East and North Africa countries (logistic smooth transition regression approach in panel data)”. The Journal of Economic Studies and Policies, 6(2), 29-58. [In Persian]. https://economic.mofidu.ac.ir/article_39251_en.html