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چالش‌های راهبرد بازدارندگی ایران در نظم پساجنگ سرد از منظر رهیافت اقتصاد سیاسی (2024-1990) | ||
| مطالعات اقتصاد سیاسی بین الملل | ||
| مقاله 9، دوره 7، شماره 2، دی 1403، صفحه 179-200 اصل مقاله (946.53 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22126/ipes.2025.10918.1681 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| معصومه انصاری فرد1؛ امیرمحمد حاجی یوسفی* 2 | ||
| 1بدون وابستگی | ||
| 2دانشیار گروه علوم سیاسی و روابط بین الملل دانشگاه شهید بهشتی تهران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| پس از فروپاشی نظام دوقطبی بهدلیل اهمیت منطقه خاورمیانه در راهبردهای مدیریتی ایالات متحده آمریکا، اقدامات تهدیدآمیز خارجی علیه ایران با شدت و نوع دیگری اعمال گردید. جمهوری اسلامی ایران در پاسخ به این تهدیدات بر استراتژی بازدارندگی تأکید دارد؛ اما عملکرد ایران نشان میدهد که هرچه از فروپاشی نظام دوقطبی به زمان حال نزدیک میشویم (2024-1990) بازدارندگی در متقاعدسازی و منصرف سازی بازیگران مختلف از ادامه اقدامات خصمانه علیه ایران نامکفی بوده است. پژوهش حاضر با هدف ارائه یک مدل تحلیلی و تبیین عملیاتی استراتژی بازدارندگی ایران و با بهرهگیری از روش کیفی و رویکرد قیاسی-تبیینی درصدد پاسخ به این سؤال بوده است که «چرا استراتژی بازدارندگی ایران در طی سالهای 2024-1990 در برابر تهدیدات آمریکا و متحدانش علیه ایران در خاورمیانه نامکفی بوده است؟» فرضیه مورد بررسی این است که «تمرکز بیشتر بر یک بُعد بازدارندگی و عدم بهرهگیری هم‌زمان از مؤلفه‌های اقتصادی، سیاسی و نظامی بازدارندگی باوجود تهدیدات زمینهای جدید در ابعاد و سطوح مختلف سبب نامکفی بودن بازدارندگی ایران در برابر تهدیدات آمریکا و متحدانش در طی سالهای 2024-1990 شده است». یافتههای این پژوهش با استفاده از مدل تحلیلی برآمده از چارچوب نظری بازدارندگی نشان میدهد که اقدامات تهدیدآمیز آمریکا و متحدانش بیشتر در ابعاد اقتصادی و سیاسی علیه ایران و باوجود تهدیدات زمینهای اقتصادی، سیاسی، نظامی و ادراکی در سطوح مختلف افزایش یافته است اما عملکرد ایران بیشتر بر محور بازدارندگی نظامی بوده و در حوزه بازدارندگی اقتصادی و سیاسی در متقاعدسازی و منصرف سازی بازیگران مختلف از ادامه تهدید علیه ایران نامکفی بوده است. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| جمهوری اسلامی ایران؛ آمریکا؛ بازدارندگی نامکفی؛ بازدارندگی اقتصادی؛ بازدارندگی سیاسی | ||
| مراجع | ||
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https://www.mfa.ir/portal/newsview/33223
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 83 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 64 |
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